Inflation Expectations

Inflation expectations
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Inflation Expectations

To help carry out its inflation targeting mandate, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) commissioned the BER in 2001 to conduct a quarterly inflation expectations survey. Four social groups are covered in the survey, namely financial analysts, business people, trade union officials and households. The results of the Inflation Expectations Survey are provided in a quarterly report that is accompanied by an excel file containing the historic survey data. The inflation expectations for the current and next two years and forecast of various other economic variables (such as economic growth, the rand / dollar exchange rate and wage increases) of financial analysts, business people, trade union officials and households are available separately. Click here for information on the survey method.

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Inflation Expectations (History Data), 2025

Date Uploaded: July 02 2025 10:00


The second quarter survey reflects a broad-based and significant decline in the inflation expectations of the survey respondents. Inflation expectations of all three social groups, (business people, trade union representatives and analysts) declined, with the downward adjustment extending across the forecast horizon. On average, the respondents expect that headline consumer inflation will be 3.9% during 2025, then rise gradually to 4.3% in 2026 and 4.5% in 2027.