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Research Notes are more in-depth analyses undertaken by BER economists and consultants. They are intended to inform clients on critical issues in the macroeconomic environment, which may impact on the business environment. Research Notes are exclusive to BER Premium Insights Service clients. For more information, contact us.
Date Uploaded: May 04 2026 12:00
Gauteng has become ground zero in South Africa’s political realignment. This note unpacks the province’s shifting power dynamics, rising populist influence, and deepening links between governance, crime and corruption - at a moment when electoral volatility is reshaping the landscape. With the 2026 local government elections approaching, we explore the coalition scenarios and political fault lines that could define not only Gauteng but also the country’s trajectory.